Arsenal predicted to finish 9th in the table, missing out on European football


Arsenal predicted to finish 9th in the table, missing out on European football

Arteta on top four

Arsenal have endured a very difficult season this year and currently sit 10th in the Premier League table after suffering a total of 11 defeats across the season with still 11 games left to go.

Mikel Arteta recently spoke about the reasons as to why Arsenal have succumbed to such a poor placing, highlighting errors and red cards as the main cause.

“Those teams they don’t make those mistakes,” the Spaniard said. “Those teams they cannot play in the first 22 games of the season four or five times with 10 men. It doesn’t happen.”

Arsenal predicted to finish 9th in the table, missing out on European football

WOLVERHAMPTON, ENGLAND – FEBRUARY 02: Referee, Craig Pawson shows David Luiz of Arsenal a red card during the Premier League match between Wolverhampton Wanderers and Arsenal at Molineux on February 02, 2021 in Wolverhampton, England. Sporting stadiums around the UK remain under strict restrictions due to the Coronavirus Pandemic as Government social distancing laws prohibit fans inside venues resulting in games being played behind closed doors. (Photo by Nick Potts – Pool/Getty Images)

“There is not a team in the world that can sustain that. And still if you make an error, you concede early, the team has to react. And the team reacted and we had more than enough to still come back and win the game.”

“So if you don’t do one, you have to do the other one. Because if you don’t do neither of them when you have the chances and you are not ruthless enough in the opponents’ box, then of course you are going to lose the game.”

Arsenal drew 1-1 against Burnley at the weekend in yet another example of where individual errors from both Granit Xhaka and Bernd Leno cost the side two points.

Predicted 9th finish

Arsenal currently sit 12 points off top 4 with a game in hand over fourth placed Chelsea. The Gunners have a favourable run of fixtures leading up until the end of the season, including matches against those also in the race for a European place.

Arteta’s side must play Spurs, Everton, Chelsea, Liverpool and West Ham in the remaining weeks of the season. These games will ultimately have the biggest bearing on where Arsenal end up.

The Athletic released a report that is based upon a number of metrics and prediction algorithms. They expect that if Arsenal are to continue on the trajectory that they have shown so far this season, taking into account the likes of xG for and against and that of their opponents, it is likely that the Gunners will finish 9th in the table.

Arsenal predicted to finish 9th in the table, missing out on European football

Arsenal’s Ghanaian midfielder Thomas Partey (L), Arsenal’s French-born Ivorian midfielder Nicolas Pepe (C) and Arsenal’s French striker Alexandre Lacazette (R) discuss options at a freekick during the English Premier League football match between Arsenal and Manchester United at the Emirates Stadium in London on January 30, 2021. (Photo by Andy Rain / POOL / AFP) / RESTRICTED TO EDITORIAL USE. No use with unauthorized audio, video, data, fixture lists, club/league logos or ‘live’ services. Online in-match use limited to 120 images. An additional 40 images may be used in extra time. No video emulation. Social media in-match use limited to 120 images. An additional 40 images may be used in extra time. No use in betting publications, games or single club/league/player publications. / (Photo by ANDY RAIN/POOL/AFP via Getty Images)

Ultimately it means that Arsenal would miss out on all European football next season unless they are to continue progressing through and winning the Europa League.

This could have a major bearing on Arsenal’s summer transfer window with financial backing limited. Arteta will hope he can prove the predictions wrong and find a strong finish to the campaign.

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This article was edited by Robert Fosterman.

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Premier League table

# Team MP D P
1 Manchester City FC 28 37 65
2 Manchester United FC 28 23 54
3 Leicester City FC 28 16 53
4 Chelsea FC 28 19 50
5 West Ham United FC 27 11 48
6 Everton FC 27 4 46
7 Tottenham Hotspur FC 27 18 45
8 Liverpool FC 28 11 43
9 Aston Villa FC 26 11 40
10 Arsenal FC 27 7 38
11 Leeds United 27 -3 35
12 Wolverhampton Wanderers FC 28 -9 35
13 Crystal Palace FC 28 -17 34
14 Southampton FC 27 -11 33
15 Burnley FC 28 -16 30
16 Newcastle United FC 27 -17 27
17 Brighton & Hove Albion FC 27 -8 26
18 Fulham FC 28 -11 26
19 West Bromwich Albion 28 -36 18
20 Sheffield United FC 28 -29 14
Player Team Goals
Salah, Mohamed Liverpool FC 17
Kane, Harry Tottenham Hotspur FC 16
Fernandes, Bruno Manchester United FC 16
Son, Heung Min Tottenham Hotspur FC 13
Bamford, Patrick Leeds United 13
Calvert-Lewin, Dominic Everton FC 13
Vardy, Jamie Leicester City FC 12
Gundogan, Ilkay Manchester City FC 11
Wilson, Callum Newcastle United FC 10
Watkins, Ollie Aston Villa FC 10
Rashford, Marcus Manchester United FC 9
Sterling, Raheem Manchester City FC 9
Barnes, Harvey Leicester City FC 9
Zaha, Wilfried Crystal Palace FC 9
Lacazette, Alexandre Arsenal FC 9
Aubameyang, Pierre-Emerick Arsenal FC 9
Maddison, James Leicester City FC 8
Ings, Danny Southampton FC 8
Soucek, Tomas West Ham United FC 8
Mahrez, Riyad Manchester City FC 7